Extended Data Fig. 2: Regional trends of GLOF peak discharge Qp with time t obtained by hierarchical quantile regression.
From: Less extreme and earlier outbursts of ice-dammed lakes since 1900
a, Temporal trends of Qp for the periods 1900–2021 and 1990–2021. Colours distinguish between the median (blue) and 90th (orange) percentile of reported Qp, including the posterior 95% HDI (shades). Numbers (n) and percentages in lower left of panels are, respectively, the sample sizes and shares of GLOFs used in the quantile regression model for each region. b, Posterior trends in Qp for the 50th and 90th percentiles. Posterior 95% HDI (lines) and median (dot) regression trend of Qp are grouped by the periods 1900–2021 (dark green) and 1990–2021 (light green). Distributions overlapping with zero (thick black line) indicate the lack of a credible trend in Qp. Percentages show posterior mass smaller (left) and larger (right) than zero.