Jay Aurora

Big things on the horizon, we are motivated and blessed to be at the dawn of a new age for the internet. Read more about our journey below or listen to the podcast: https://lnkd.in/eJeNhvVa

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⛳ Emerging fund managers pulse check. PitchBook tracks over 10,000 funds that are raising money, with 45% being emerging fund managers (defined as firms with less than 3 funds). Despite a dip in available capital—down to 16% from the pre-pandemic 23%—these managers are finding creative ways to stay competitive, like partnering with larger firms. 💼 Joanna Drake (founder turned investor) shared how "wildly different" it is raising a fund versus for a startup. One key datapoint she shared on the fund side was how little feedback you get along the way (and the years you can wait for it). The “long-winded and challenging process to raise capital” inspired Drake and Ben Black to create RAISE Global, a community for emerging fund managers and the “forward-thinking LPs” who back them. (A decade later, several hundred emerging managers with AUM under $200m are on the platform) They've found the newest emerging managers are more diverse and geographically dispersed than Silicon valley, and more were able to crack the ceiling and raise larger $100m funds (although this is still a small % of the market, requiring partnership with larger funds at the late stage). ▶ And not a hugely surprising datapoint: A lot of action is in the sub $49 million range, where roughly 50% of emerging managers are raising. Theresa Sorrentino Hajer, Head of U.S. venture capital research at Cambridge Associates warns that past success isn't actually a strong indicator on it's own to assess emerging managers. We've had a valuation reset. And newer managers with investments during the 2019-2021 "party days", need to build relevant track record and play to their strengths. A lot of emerging managers are specializing (70% who applied for Raise had a thematic focus), and betting on getting in as early as possible in the startup's lifecycle (Raise: 31% at accelerator/ pre-seed stages, and 47% at seed stage). “Emerging managers have to compete on a different dimension,” Nick Moran from New Stack Ventures. You're no longer just dealing with capital. Emerging VC's need to be as innovative and nimble as the startups they invest in, having a unique thesis and insights. They also play a role at the top of the deal-flow funnel: helping larger firms find promising companies, so finding a thesis, sector or philosophy aligned partner at a larger firm is helpful. Onwards! #EmergingManager #Startups #VC

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The state of venture capital is wild right now. We are witnessing a surge of innovation across the spectrum: - Funds merging - VC doing PE - PE doing VC - Secondary funds - Buyout funds - Spin-out funds - Debt funds - Continuation funds - Infrastructure funds - GP turnover - Hard Tech surging - Family Office uptick

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Big rounds are back. VC Funding is flowing. In April, there were 28 fundraising rounds announced with >$10M in funding. We've seen private market (pre-launch) deals valued >$3B recently. Private Markets are hot. Public Market comps (FDVs) are hot. But who will buy our multi-billion dollar bags? Deal Flow Digest April w/: - Recap of largest web3 funding rounds - Airtable with ALL the data - Hackathons & Demo Days - VC Fundraises Read more here: https://lnkd.in/g7V4KrAj

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As an economist, I obsess (probably a little too much) about profit, cash flow, and IRR. It's one thing to see gains in paper valuations, but those are just a proxy. Sure investors will vary in their preferences for liquidity, duration etc. but in the end they all require the same thing -- realized returns. There are a ton of companies in limbo right now where they can't quite exit nor are they in a position to generate a dividend. For investors, this is a tough spot to be in, and even more so when it's a systemic trend affecting their whole portfolio rather than a one-off.

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What do you do as a founder, when you're no longer VC-backable, but are too small for private equity? Join us on May 23rd for a fireside talk with Andrew Chang, where we will explore the venturePE financing model, the gap in the funding markets that we address and how back companies that need that extra push and operating muscle. Lauren Bonner Jonathan Jetmundsen MBM Capital #fundraising #venturePE

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Pear VC Startup Equity Calculator for Early Hires Pear VC head of talent Matt Birnbaum created this calculator to determine the equity for early hires. You can read more here How to structure startup equity for early hires https://lnkd.in/ggmpT5-Y https://lnkd.in/gjsvths6

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We believe in extreme vetting of our founders. You can't build a unicorn if you spend time on silly stuff, like seeing family and friends. Grow up, and focus on investor returns. #vc #startups #investment

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Great analysis by the AGC team on SaaS public company comps. It's worth a look as we recalibrate mid-way through earnings season. The analysis aligns with the broader Nasdaq equity performance, where the Mag 7 (or fab 4 now :-)) have shown more resilience than the rest of the market. #AGC #SaaS #EarningsSeason #Nasdaq #EquityPerformance

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Seed VCs are turning to new ‘pro rata’ funds that help them compete with the big firms Alpha Partners, SignalRank and now SaaS Ventures help seed VCs pay for shares when big VCs try to price — or push — them out Lee Edwards, partner at Root VC, has a saying at his firm that “pro rata rights are earned, not given.” That may be a bit of a stretch since pro rata refers to a term that VCs put in their term sheets that gives them the right to buy more shares in a portfolio company during consequent funding rounds to maintain an ownership percentage and avoid dilution. Still, while these rights are not exactly “earned,” they can be expensive. One of the latest trends in VC investing these days are funds dedicated to helping seed VCs exercise their pro rata rights. https://lnkd.in/dRM3RvdA By Christine Hall

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Valuations are starting to (only slightly) be in check. Investors looking for revenue, quality of revenue, margins, and repeatable GTM. This has the best founders focused on what matters, and reaching out to their Boards and advisors for real advice and guidance. Good stuff.

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What does it take to raise capital for SaaS companies now according to Jason Lemkin (SaaStr) Key Takeaway 1: The current venture capital landscape is experiencing significant changes, particularly driven by the rise of AI. Investors are increasingly focused on finding "decacorns" (companies valued at over $10 billion) in the AI space, as traditional software companies are no longer seen as sufficient for generating massive returns. > Agree, its a generational new sector that will change the world in the short to medium term Key Takeaway 2: There's a growing trend of large investments in AI companies, even those without established revenue or customers. This is exemplified by Elon Musk's new AI company raising $6 billion and OpenAI's rapid growth. Investors are making high-risk bets on potential AI breakthroughs, driven by the need for outsized returns. Key Takeaway 3: Established venture capital firms and investors are pivoting their focus towards AI. SoftBank is raising a $9 billion fund solely for AI investments, while prominent hedge fund manager Steve Cohen has restructured his venture fund to concentrate exclusively on AI opportunities. > This signals huge momentum of capital, a good but wary signal. Overall a very good signal. Key Takeaway 4: The AI investment trend is not without skepticism. There's recognition that some companies may be falsely claiming AI capabilities to attract funding. However, real-world applications and significant deals, such as Palantir's $480 million AI contract with the US Army, demonstrate the tangible potential of AI technologies. > As with any new exploding trend, be wary always. Key Takeaway 5: The venture capital industry is under pressure to find and invest in potential decacorns, as traditional software companies, even successful ones, are no longer considered sufficient for generating the massive returns required by large VC funds. This shift is causing stress and driving the focus towards high-potential AI startups. > Power law distribution and math doesn't lie (that much). https://lnkd.in/gHe8tW2E

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It was a real honor to interview Brad Burnham co-founder of Union Square Ventures and partner Placeholder on the history of hype cycles in technology and the value they bring to capital and market formation. Brad has had tremendous success across decades investing at the frontier - when it was the frontier/ before it was obvious. Crypto is still the underdog and his views on the opportunity and its nuances are prescient. Specifically it is both a technical and financial innovation which can lead to excess volatility and a unique muscle as it relates to being a venture manager. But the returns are real. And the innovation is real despite some of the the common narratives. No one debates the breakthrough applications in AI at M13 we have been very active. It is also very clear that incumbents have massive data and distribution advantages which can make it challenging to find the right pockets to invest. AI is on its own hype cycle and as always the best teams (typically with contrarian takes) win. Very exciting times to be a venture investor.

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Should I use only equity for my search fund acquisition? 👇 If you can convince enough shareholders to part with their cash in order to purchase a company, this is the simplest way to go. A few thoughts: 1. Equity carries no covenants or external limits on how you and your team run the company. 2. Since there’s no debt, you have a higher risk tolerance. 3. Equity investors are patient. Debt holders are not. 4. Investors get well rewarded for shared success. If you do well, they do very well. This can make it easier to raise capital. 5. Some companies are not a good fit for debt. Lenders like predictable cash flow, hard assets and a history of profitability. 6. Equity is easy to raise compared to debt, which involves due diligence, counterparty risk, and tight terms. On the other hand, equity is expensive. You will have to give away the value of the money up front, and more.

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Funds 101: Principal Preferred return Proceeds Always protect the principal and only use it once which is upfront. Cover the preferred return whenever possible. Throttle up when you have the proceeds to work with. This isn't easy to do in VC as there isn't a lot of liquidity events, cash flow, distributions and or exits, but for other funds you can work around a short, mid and long term strategy.

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New podcast with Betr CEO Joey Levy: we share all our insider secrets of how we’ve raised hundreds of millions of dollars of venture capital. This is a no-bs, real talk episode from guys in the trenches today. For fundraising, should you try to “buddy-buddy” investors and then guilt-trip them to invest? I will tell you first hand that guilt-tripping works, but it’s virtually always a bad investment. You can probably pull that style of fundraising off, but it won’t work on experienced investors. Go to https://lnkd.in/e5m6DNYR for the full show.

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Every quarter, California is home to more startup fundraising activity than any other state in the U.S. But in Q1 2024, the startup industry's traditional home was even more dominant than usual. Startups based in California raised 59.25% of all capital on Carta during Q1 among states where at least 10 deals took place. Compare that to a year ago: In Q1 2023, California startups raised 37.9% of all funding. Over the full course of 2023, the state's share of the fundraising pie was 40.41%. In total, startups from the Golden State raised $9 billion in Q1, up from $7 billion the prior quarter and the highest quarterly total since Q3 2022, when overall cash raised across the whole U.S. was significantly higher ($22.9 billion, compared to $16.3 billion in Q1 2024). This wasn't a matter of funding from other states receding while California held steady. The California funding scene seems to be surging, aided by the ongoing AI gold rush underway in and around the Bay Area. Some other highlights from the Q1 map of VC funding: -Massachusetts had the second highest share of capital raised in the quarter of any state, with 11.25%. New York was third, at 11.05%. -It was a tepid quarter in Texas: Startups in the state raised just 2.32% of all capital among states with at least 10 deals, down from 6.45% over the course of 2023. -The whole South region raised 12% of U.S. venture funding in Q1 2024, down from 23% compared to Q1 2023. -Colorado was another western state with a big Q1. The state's startups raised 3.64% of funding last quarter, up from about 2% last year and the fourth-highest Q1 share of any state. I'll drop a link in the comments below to my full story on how the Q1 map of funding shook out.

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Summary: Industry Ventures has raised a $900 million early-stage hybrid fund for investing in emerging managers and directly backing growth-stage companies. This is their seventh hybrid fund and is larger than their previous one. The fund will be split between backing VC funds, direct investments, and acquiring stakes from emerging managers. Key takeaways: Smaller, newer funds are finding it more difficult to raise capital, but this fund from Industry Ventures offers hope for emerging managers. The fund will be split between various investments, including backing VC funds and buying secondary interests. Industry Ventures may have an advantage due to their ability to invest in both emerging and more established managers. Counter arguments: Some may argue that it is still difficult for emerging managers to raise funds. The success of Industry Ventures may not be indicative of the overall climate for emerging managers. #venturecapital #venture #startups #fundraising

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