Weather and climate change

Headline:

Largely cloudy with outbreaks of rain, heavy in places, continuing.

This Evening and Tonight:

Heavy and persistent rain will continue to push northwards across Scotland and parts of Northern Ireland. Thundery showers slowly easing across northern England. Elsewhere remaining largely cloudy, with some showery rain in places. A muggy night for all.

Wednesday:

Unsettled with cloud and rain across the north through much of the day. Becoming drier elsewhere with some sunny spells possible across the far south. Feeling warm in the sunshine.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Remaining unsettled with further outbreaks of rain likely on Thursday, but some warm sunny spells around too. Similar on Friday, but turning somewhat drier as we move into the weekend.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 9 Jul 2024

Into the weekend conditions will be mostly cool to average with some showers at times, most settled in the north west. The first part of the new week likely to see a a mixture of rain or showers move in from the southwest as a more westerly breeze establishes allowing temperatures to recover to around or just above average, feeling warm in sunnier periods outside of showers/heavy showers or thunderstorms, with a more settled spell to the south mid-week possibly spreading to much of the UK, though this likely only for a few days at most before a more showery northwest flow resumes. Winds after the weekend will be mostly light to moderate, though gusty conditions near heavy showers and thunderstorms remains likely.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 9 Jul 2024

As can often be the case at this time of year, predictability at this range is low. There are some signs of a slightly greater than normal chance of a more prolonged settled spell developing at some point during the period, at least for a time, and perhaps more likely in the south. However, by the same token further, perhaps shorter, unsettled interludes are probable too. Above average temperatures overall, and drier than average conditions overall, are very slightly favoured.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 9 Jul 2024